| By ToddHill - Oct 12th, 2006 at 5:23 pm EDT |
| Also listed in: Campus Progress Blog |
When will we learn the Chinese can't be trusted? The communist country has always been at the hip of North Korea, dating all the way back to the Korean War. The 6-nation talks they have led, designed to stop Kim Jong Il from going nuclear, have been nothing more then expensive vacations with absolutely zero progress to report. Time and again the Chinese pretend to cooperate only to stab us in the back in the very end.
I could smell this coming a mile away, the very minute reports of the North Korean nuclear test came out the pretext was always that they warned China 20 minutes ahead of time. Why? It's not because they were neighbors, it's likely because they are in cooperation with the effort. It should be quite clear through China's international foreign policy that it is aligning itself with nations that are, and at one time, were traditional enemies of the United States. Recent military pacts with Russia and oil treaties with Venezuela are perfect examples of that.
China is positioning itself to be the only superpower of the world and is quickly boxing the United States into a corner, and because of our weak standing internationally now our leverage is dissolving. The only country with any leverage with North Korea is China, and because Russia is China's new lap dog, you will not see the sanctions you should see slapped on North Korea materialize anytime soon due to the fact both hold veto power on the United Nations Security Council. This issue will likely have to be resolved outside of United Nations either through direct talks, one on one, or military action.

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China’s policy towards North Korean nuclear proliferation is guided by a desire to protect the territorial integrity of China, to maintain China’s position as the regional leader on the Asian mainland, to preserve international prestige, to preserve the historic friendship between the DPRK and the PRC, to counter the perceived US containment policy, and to protect Chinese trade interests in the region. Any escalation on the Korean peninsula is likely to create a refugee crisis within China as North Koreans flee across the Yalu River into Jilin and Liaoning provinces, giving China a territorial imperative to help prevent any such escalation from occurring.
China officially supports the concept of a multi-polar world order, it sees its own diplomatic efforts to limit North Korea’s nuclear program as a way of limiting the need for US involvement in a neighboring country, and as a way of preserving the buffer between China and the ROK, which houses tens of thousands of American armed forces.
As the top power on the Asian mainland, and as a nation interested in being the leader in the region’s affairs, China wishes to be able to demonstrate an ability to serve as an arbiter for disputes among its neighbors.
In its attempts to keep the Korean nuclear issue a regional affair by keeping it out of the UN, China has ironically been forced to increase the US’s role in discussions. However, China has employed its own form of coercion with North Korea, as the DPRK remains highly dependent on Chinese oil and food transfers. In 1997 China threatened to withhold food aid over a diplomatic spat with Kim Jong-Il, demanding that North Korea engage in agricultural reforms. Chinese food aid to North Korea decreased steadily over the first five years of the 1990s during the nuclear crisis, but increased again during the latter part of the decade. The North’s dependence on oil from China has likewise been used coercively, with China shutting down a pipeline to North Korea for three days in early 2003 during another DPRK-US “diplomatic showdown.”
One of the key concerns China has with a nuclear North Korea is that the development of a Korean bomb will spur other countries in Asia to engage in an arms buildup and to develop nuclear programs of their own, potentially weakening China’s regional hegemony. Japan might seek to rebuild its military capacity if faced with the potential of a North Korean attack, and South Korea has, it revealed in 2004, maintained a clandestine nuclear program (Washington Post, 9/12/04). North Korean advances in missile technology, culminating in the 1998 firing of a ballistic missile over Japan, have fueled concerns in the US that missile defense systems should be installed both domestically and to protect Japan and South Korea, a move which China says would force it to begin stockpiling additional nuclear missiles of its own, in order to ensure a large enough arsenal to overwhelm any missile defense system.
Viewed through a proper lens, what China is doing is both consistent with past policy and perfectly in line with their regional goals. There's nothing untrustworthy about a country behaving exactly as it has in the past and in a manner consistent with its stated goals.